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V-Varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo — Prediction & Live Score · J1 League

J1 LeagueJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 09:30 AM

PredictIQ's model gives V-Varen Nagasaki a moderate edge, projecting a 45% chance of victory. Expected goals sit at 1.5–1.4, pointing to a high-scoring affair. The standout value angle is BTTS Yes, priced at fair odds of 1.66 against a model probability of 60%. The most likely final scoreline is 1-1 (12%).

Model Breakdown

predictiq_stack_v6
HOME 45%
DRAW 27%
AWAY 29%
BEST VALUE: BTTS Yes @ 1.66
Model fair probability: 60%
Expected Goals (xG)1.51.4
Likely score1-1 12% · 2-1 9% · 1-2 8%

Secondary Markets

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
Both Teams to Score (Yes)
60%
Not yet collected for this fixture.

Market Movement

1X2
Consensus direction
No clear move
Strength · Confidence
0 · 0.00
stableBookmakers disagree
Home
0%
0/17 moving
Draw
0%
0/17 moving
Away
0%
0/17 moving
Market-implied probability (vig removed)
Home
19.5%19.5%
0.0%
Draw
25.0%25.0%
0.0%
Away
55.5%55.5%
0.0%

Derived from bookmaker price movement only, never actual betting volume. 17 bookmakers reporting.

Odds Movement

How the line has shifted from opening odds to now, per bookmaker.

View markets →

Lineups

Lineups aren't confirmed yet — usually available closer to kickoff.